Dedicated Issues··Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 8:55 AM

Prediction Markets Are the New Poll Scam, Only Better for the People Running Them

Kalshi and Polymarket are flashing 93 to 95 percent odds that Democrats take the House and roughly 75 percent that they take the Senate. Cable panels and the usual suspects treat those numbers like gospel. The message is the same one the polls have pushed for weeks: stay home, Republicans. Your side already lost. Those

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